{"id":301,"date":"2011-05-03T03:10:20","date_gmt":"2011-05-03T03:10:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/heavytopspin.com\/?p=301"},"modified":"2011-05-03T03:10:20","modified_gmt":"2011-05-03T03:10:20","slug":"tuesday-topspin-catching-up","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2011\/05\/03\/tuesday-topspin-catching-up\/","title":{"rendered":"Tuesday Topspin: Catching Up"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>Rankings report: <\/em>It&#8217;s a fascinating time of the year in the rankings, as the French Open approaches and the value of a ranking in the top 32 (or 34 or 35, depending on injuries) rises. \u00a0As I <a href=\"http:\/\/summerofjeff.wordpress.com\/2011\/02\/10\/quantifying-the-bias-of-an-atp-draw\/\">wrote<\/a> in February, a seed increases a player&#8217;s chances of advancing further in the tournament. \u00a0The benefit is most marked in the 30-35 range, where #32 won&#8217;t have to face another seed until the third round, while #35 could draw <strong>Rafael Nadal<\/strong> in the first round.<\/p>\n<p>By winning in Estoril and Munich, respectively, both <strong>Juan Martin del Potro<\/strong> and <strong>Nikolay Davydenko<\/strong> bounced back into the top 32&#8211;Davydenko up 12 places to #28, and Delpo up 14 to #32. \u00a0<strong>Florian Mayer<\/strong>, the other finalist in Munich, also moved up from #35 to #30 on last week&#8217;s result.<\/p>\n<p>Another big gainer was <strong>James Blake<\/strong>, up 40 spots to #109 on the strength of his title in Sarasota. \u00a0The losing finalist at that tournament, <strong>Alex Bogomolov<\/strong>, rose to #91, his career high. \u00a0Also marking a career best is\u00a0<strong>Benoit Paire<\/strong>, who reached the semifinal in Ostrava, good enough to get him to #99, his first time in the top 100.<\/p>\n<p>Big losers include <strong>Fernando Verdasco<\/strong>, down yet another two spots to #17, and <strong>Ernests Gulbis<\/strong>, who fell a whopping 31 places down to #64. \u00a0At the rate he&#8217;s going, he&#8217;ll have to qualify for Masters 1000 events this summer.<\/p>\n<p><em>Pobrecitos: <\/em>Every year, I go into the clay court season knowing it will be bad for Americans, yet every year, the top Americans manage to disappoint. \u00a0<strong>Andy Roddick<\/strong> may have reached a new low, losing to qualifer <strong>Flavio Cipolla<\/strong>. \u00a0I love Cipolla, but I root for him with full knowledge of his limitations, and those limitations should include an inability to beat Roddick. \u00a0Yet the Italian came through a very tight match, breaking four times to Andy&#8217;s two.<\/p>\n<p>In the second round, Cipolla will face <strong>Michael Llodra<\/strong>, who had a much easier time dispatching his American opponent, allowing <strong>Sam Querrey<\/strong> only five games. \u00a0Querrey won only 51% of his service points, a disappointing number regardless of surface. \u00a0The only American in the second round is <strong>John Isner<\/strong>, who served his way past <strong>Mardy Fish<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p><em>Matches to watch: <\/em>The first round isn&#8217;t quite over,\u00a0\u00a0and the remaining matches include many blockbusters. \u00a0On the card for tomorrow:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>del Potro vs <strong>Mikhail Youhzny<\/strong>. \u00a0The Russian hasn&#8217;t shown much in months, while Delpo sent the rest of the field a message with his 6-2 6-2 drubbing of Verdasco in the Estoril final.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Milos Raonic<\/strong> vs <strong>Feliciano Lopez<\/strong>. \u00a0Lopez is playing well, challenging <strong>Novak Djokovic<\/strong> in the Belgrade final and reaching the quarters in Barcelona. \u00a0Assuming Raonic&#8217;s back holds up, his recent results suggest he should make this match a close one. \u00a0They&#8217;ll play each other in doubles, as well, Raonic with <strong>Nicholas Almagro<\/strong>, and Lopez with Verdasco.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kevin Anderson<\/strong> vs <strong>Olivier Rochus<\/strong>. If nothing else, it should be entertaining to watch Rochus threaten a guy more than a foot taller than he is. \u00a0The winner gets Djokovic<\/li>\n<li><strong>Guillermo Garcia-Lopez<\/strong> vs <strong>Thiemo de Bakker<\/strong>. \u00a0This second-rounder features two guys who weren&#8217;t favored to get there. \u00a0GGL beat 14th seed <strong>Stanislas Wawrinka<\/strong> (who is having an awful clay season), while de Bakker won a three-setter over <strong>Juan Carlos Ferrero<\/strong>. \u00a0Both guys are capable of playing at a top-20 level, and both have already recorded solid victories this week.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div><em>Two&#8217;s are wild: <\/em>There are some great, bizarre doubles pairings this week. \u00a0Roddick played with <strong>Mark Knowles<\/strong>, becoming one of the first doubles losers of the tournament on Sunday. \u00a0Fish and Delpo are teaming up; they&#8217;ll face the equally star-studded team of <strong>Richard Gasquet<\/strong> and <strong>Jo-Wilfried Tsonga<\/strong>. \u00a0It isn&#8217;t quite the doubles fiesta of Indian Wells, but we&#8217;ll get to see plenty of top singles players out of their comfort zones.<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Rankings report: It&#8217;s a fascinating time of the year in the rankings, as the French Open approaches and the value of a ranking in the top 32 (or 34 or 35, depending on injuries) rises. \u00a0As I wrote in February, a seed increases a player&#8217;s chances of advancing further in the tournament. \u00a0The benefit is &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2011\/05\/03\/tuesday-topspin-catching-up\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Tuesday Topspin: Catching Up<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,24,31,62],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-301","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-american-tennis","category-daily-recaps","category-doubles","category-madrid"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=301"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/301\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=301"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=301"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=301"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}