64 men are out of the draw, with the usual handful of first-round surprises. Murray’s quarter has gotten even weaker with the early exit of Nicolas Almagro, while Berdych’s 1st-round defeat doesn’t affect Djokovic’s odds much.<\/p>\n
Oddly enough, there are more very-lopsided matchups in the 2nd round than there were in the first. Nadal, del Potro, and Djokovic all have a 93% chance of advancing to the third round, while Federer is above 91%. The only two ultra-tight matchups this round are in Melzer’s section, where Kevin Anderson and Juan Ignacio Chela are close to dead even, and Carlos Berlocq is roughly equal with qualifer Lukasz Kubot.<\/p>\n
Remarkably, 8 of the 16 qualifiers got through to the second round, while 2 of the 6 lucky losers did so. 3 of the 8 wild cards advanced, though one of those was a foregone conclusion, as two WCs faced off in the first round.<\/p>\n
Here are the odds for the rest of the tournament:<\/p>\n
Player R32 R16 QF W \n(1)Rafael Nadal 93.9% 75.0% 63.5% \u2026 22.0% \nPablo Andujar 6.1% 1.7% 0.4% \u2026 0.0% \n(q)Antonio Veic 17.7% 1.2% 0.3% \u2026 0.0% \n(28)Nikolay Davydenko 82.3% 22.1% 12.4% \u2026 0.7% \n(24)Sam Querrey 41.4% 16.6% 2.9% \u2026 0.1% \nIvan Ljubicic 58.6% 27.4% 6.3% \u2026 0.2% \nXavier Malisse 23.7% 8.6% 1.2% \u2026 0.0% \n(16)Fernando Verdasco 76.3% 47.4% 13.0% \u2026 0.9% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(10)Mardy Fish 71.1% 42.1% 17.5% \u2026 0.7% \nRobin Haase 28.9% 10.7% 2.6% \u2026 0.0% \nJeremy Chardy 35.0% 13.6% 3.7% \u2026 0.0% \n(18)Gilles Simon 65.0% 33.7% 12.8% \u2026 0.4% \n(27)Marcos Baghdatis 67.8% 24.1% 12.6% \u2026 0.3% \n(q)Leonardo Mayer 32.2% 6.1% 1.9% \u2026 0.0% \n(q)Albert Ramos 10.1% 2.8% 0.6% \u2026 0.0% \n(5)Robin Soderling 89.9% 67.0% 48.3% \u2026 5.3% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(4)Andy Murray 89.1% 80.3% 64.1% \u2026 8.8% \n(LL)Simone Bolelli 10.9% 5.9% 2.1% \u2026 0.0% \n(WC)Arnaud Clement 41.3% 4.8% 1.2% \u2026 0.0% \nMichael Berrer 58.7% 8.9% 3.1% \u2026 0.0% \n(21)Alexandr Dolgopolov 66.2% 33.7% 10.3% \u2026 0.2% \nAndreas Haider-Maurer 33.8% 12.2% 2.6% \u2026 0.0% \nTobias Kamke 26.6% 9.6% 1.8% \u2026 0.0% \n(15)Viktor Troicki 73.4% 44.5% 14.9% \u2026 0.3% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(q)Lukasz Kubot 50.6% 16.0% 4.1% \u2026 0.0% \nCarlos Berlocq 49.4% 15.6% 4.0% \u2026 0.0% \n(q)Alejandro Falla 24.1% 11.9% 2.8% \u2026 0.0% \n(20)Florian Mayer 75.9% 56.6% 27.0% \u2026 0.5% \n(32)Kevin Anderson 51.4% 14.4% 6.3% \u2026 0.0% \nJuan Ignacio Chela 48.6% 14.2% 6.1% \u2026 0.0% \n(q)Lukas Rosol 15.3% 5.8% 2.1% \u2026 0.0% \n(8)Jurgen Melzer 84.7% 65.6% 47.6% \u2026 2.5% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(7)David Ferrer 77.4% 53.7% 34.7% \u2026 2.4% \nJulien Benneteau 22.6% 9.0% 3.3% \u2026 0.0% \nKei Nishikori 68.8% 29.3% 15.2% \u2026 0.3% \n(31)Sergiy Stakhovsky 31.2% 8.0% 2.7% \u2026 0.0% \n(q)Steve Darcis 30.0% 6.0% 1.0% \u2026 0.0% \nPhilipp Petzschner 70.0% 24.1% 7.8% \u2026 0.0% \n(WC)Guillaume Rufin 17.0% 6.8% 1.4% \u2026 0.0% \n(9)Gael Monfils 83.0% 63.1% 33.9% \u2026 1.4% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(14)Stanislas Wawrinka 75.3% 43.0% 15.1% \u2026 0.6% \n(q)Thomas Schoorel 24.7% 8.0% 1.4% \u2026 0.0% \nIgor Andreev 25.5% 7.3% 1.1% \u2026 0.0% \n(17)Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 74.5% 41.7% 14.5% \u2026 0.6% \n(29)Janko Tipsarevic 68.9% 15.1% 6.5% \u2026 0.1% \nPere Riba 31.1% 4.0% 1.0% \u2026 0.0% \n(WC)Maxime Teixeira 8.2% 2.8% 0.6% \u2026 0.0% \n(3)Roger Federer 91.8% 78.1% 59.8% \u2026 11.5% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(q)Stephane Robert 32.4% 9.3% 2.4% \u2026 0.0% \nFabio Fognini 67.6% 29.0% 11.7% \u2026 0.0% \n(LL)Marsel Ilhan 31.9% 15.3% 5.3% \u2026 0.0% \n(30)Guillermo Garcia-Lopez 68.1% 46.4% 25.8% \u2026 0.2% \nRuben Ramirez Hidalgo 21.4% 5.0% 1.4% \u2026 0.0% \nAlbert Montanes 78.6% 39.3% 22.0% \u2026 0.2% \nMikhail Kukushkin 31.2% 12.9% 5.3% \u2026 0.0% \n(12)Mikhail Youzhny 68.8% 42.8% 26.1% \u2026 0.3% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(13)Richard Gasquet 79.7% 55.2% 11.7% \u2026 1.5% \nMarcel Granollers 20.3% 7.8% 0.6% \u2026 0.0% \nAndreas Seppi 33.0% 8.6% 0.6% \u2026 0.0% \n(23)Thomaz Bellucci 67.0% 28.4% 4.0% \u2026 0.2% \n(25)Juan Martin Del Potro 93.4% 35.1% 27.6% \u2026 9.8% \nBlaz Kavcic 6.6% 0.3% 0.1% \u2026 0.0% \nVictor Hanescu 4.1% 0.4% 0.1% \u2026 0.0% \n(2)Novak Djokovic 95.9% 64.2% 55.4% \u2026 27.6%<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"64 men are out of the draw, with the usual handful of first-round surprises. Murray’s quarter has gotten even weaker with the early exit of Nicolas Almagro, while Berdych’s 1st-round defeat doesn’t affect Djokovic’s odds much. Oddly enough, there are more very-lopsided matchups in the 2nd round than there were in the first. Nadal, del … Continue reading French Open Odds Update: 2nd round<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,41],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-343","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forecasting","category-french-open"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=343"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/343\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=343"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=343"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=343"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}