{"id":367,"date":"2011-06-07T18:01:57","date_gmt":"2011-06-07T18:01:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/heavytopspin.com\/?p=367"},"modified":"2011-06-07T18:01:57","modified_gmt":"2011-06-07T18:01:57","slug":"hard-court-rankings-post-french-open","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2011\/06\/07\/hard-court-rankings-post-french-open\/","title":{"rendered":"Hard Court Rankings, Post French-Open"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been a little while since I&#8217;ve posted anything from my ranking system. \u00a0If you&#8217;re new around here and don&#8217;t know what I&#8217;m talking about, you can read up on how my rankings are calculated <a title=\"Indian Wells\u00a0Projections\" href=\"http:\/\/tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2011\/03\/11\/indian-wells-projections\/\">here<\/a>. \u00a0The short version is that they take into account results, giving you more points for beating good players than beating weaker players. \u00a0There are many other factors that go into it, and once the stew is stirred, these rankings do a better job of predicting match results than do the ATP rankings.<\/p>\n<p>One odd thing about surface rankings is that they are most interesting when they are most unreliable. \u00a0Right now, we&#8217;re shifting gears from clay to grass, and no one has played a match on a hard court since Miami. \u00a0But because we&#8217;ve switched over, hard court results matter. \u00a0(Because there are so few grass-court events, I have to group hard and grass together.)<\/p>\n<p>Without further ado, here is the top 40 through the French Open, rated for current hard-court ability level.<\/p>\n<p><pre>1   Novak Djokovic          6836  \n2   Rafael Nadal            5090  \n3   Roger Federer           4902  \n4   Juan Martin del Potro   4207  \n5   Andy Murray             3726  \n6   Robin Soderling         2682  \n7   Stanislas Wawrinka      2244  \n8   Mardy Fish              2072  \n9   Gael Monfils            1909  \n10  Tomas Berdych           1862  \n                                  \n11  Andy Roddick            1858  \n12  Marin Cilic             1826  \n13  David Ferrer            1742  \n14  Nikolay Davydenko       1721  \n15  Marcos Baghdatis        1603  \n16  Milos Raonic            1477  \n17  Alexander Dolgopolov    1416  \n18  Jo-Wilfried Tsonga      1393  \n19  Richard Gasquet         1389  \n20  Florian Mayer           1354  \n                                  \n21  Gilles Simon            1333  \n22  Viktor Troicki          1226  \n23  Fernando Verdasco       1192  \n24  Kei Nishikori           1180  \n25  Mikhail Youzhny         1156  \n26  Jurgen Melzer           1116  \n27  Samuel Querrey          1031  \n28  Janko Tipsarevic        1015  \n29  Ivan Ljubicic            993  \n30  Guillermo Garcia-Lopez   983  \n                                  \n31  Juan Monaco              967  \n32  Michael Llodra           914  \n33  John Isner               907  \n34  Philipp Kohlschreiber    890  \n35  Jeremy Chardy            872  \n36  Nicolas Almagro          852  \n37  David Nalbandian         846  \n38  Feliciano Lopez          784  \n39  Radek Stepanek           759  \n40  Lleyton Hewitt           753<\/pre>\n<p>(The points don&#8217;t mean anything concrete, though they do give you an idea of the differences between adjacent players.)<\/p>\n<p>The biggest surprise in the top 10 is Stanislas Wawrinka, and of course, he&#8217;s made me look dumb by losing in his first match to British wild card James Ward. \u00a0Yikes. \u00a0That will probably knock him down a spot or three before next week&#8217;s rankings. \u00a0Seeing Lleyton Hewitt at the bottom of this list is a reminder that he&#8217;s only a year removed from some very good hard-court results, and if healthy, he could generate some upsets at Halle and Wimbledon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been a little while since I&#8217;ve posted anything from my ranking system. \u00a0If you&#8217;re new around here and don&#8217;t know what I&#8217;m talking about, you can read up on how my rankings are calculated here. \u00a0The short version is that they take into account results, giving you more points for beating good players than &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2011\/06\/07\/hard-court-rankings-post-french-open\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Hard Court Rankings, Post French-Open<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[91],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-367","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-rankings"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=367"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/367\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=367"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=367"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=367"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}