When I initially posted odds for Indian Wells, the qualifiers weren’t placed. \u00a0In the space of a couple days, the draw was filled out, and then most of the qualifiers were gone. \u00a0Frederico Gil, Marinko Matosevic, and Andrey Golubev got from qualifying to the second round, but they faced other qualifiers in the first round. \u00a0The only other qualifying survivor was Matthew Ebden, who advanced past the always-beatable Igor Kunitsyn.<\/p>\n
With the big names, little has changed–after all, the top 32 have yet to play a match. \u00a0The simulation is just a little more nuanced, now that the actual rating of each player is included.<\/p>\n
Player R32 R16 QF W \n(1)Novak Djokovic 89.6% 75.8% 62.3% 25.8% \n(Q)Andrey Golubev 10.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.0% \nPhilipp Kohlschreiber 53.7% 11.4% 5.5% 0.3% \n(29)Kevin Anderson 46.3% 8.8% 3.9% 0.2% \n(18)Florian Mayer 82.7% 44.6% 12.4% 0.9% \nPablo Andujar 17.3% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0% \nAlbert Ramos 18.4% 4.7% 0.4% 0.0% \nRichard Gasquet 81.6% 47.0% 13.7% 1.1% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(12)Nicolas Almagro 51.3% 21.9% 9.0% 0.3% \n(WC)Sam Querrey 48.7% 19.9% 7.9% 0.2% \nSantiago Giraldo 28.6% 12.1% 4.0% 0.1% \n(17)Kei Nishikori 71.4% 46.1% 25.2% 2.2% \n(30)Andy Roddick 64.6% 27.3% 13.5% 0.6% \nLukasz Kubot 35.4% 10.5% 3.8% 0.1% \nSergiy Stakhovsky 24.8% 10.5% 3.8% 0.1% \n(7)Tomas Berdych 75.2% 51.7% 32.8% 3.8% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(4)Andy Murray 80.7% 62.3% 44.5% 9.7% \nGuillermo Garcia Lopez 19.3% 8.5% 3.3% 0.1% \nRyan Harrison 44.2% 11.8% 4.8% 0.1% \n(25)Viktor Troicki 55.8% 17.4% 8.0% 0.3% \n(23)Stanislas Wawrinka 84.0% 50.8% 22.5% 1.9% \n(WC)Robby Ginepri 16.0% 3.8% 0.6% 0.0% \nDudi Sela 33.8% 11.8% 3.2% 0.0% \n(13)Gilles Simon 66.2% 33.6% 13.2% 0.8% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(11)John Isner 84.1% 52.4% 27.7% 1.5% \n(LL)Federico Gil 15.9% 3.9% 0.7% 0.0% \nNicolas Mahut 34.4% 11.8% 3.8% 0.0% \n(22)Juan Monaco 65.6% 31.9% 14.7% 0.5% \n(32)Julien Benneteau 63.7% 26.7% 12.9% 0.4% \n(Q)Matthew Ebden 36.3% 10.7% 3.7% 0.0% \nAndreas Seppi 32.2% 16.3% 7.3% 0.1% \n(8)Mardy Fish 67.8% 46.3% 29.1% 2.4% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(5)David Ferrer 70.0% 51.3% 25.6% 2.1% \nGrigor Dimitrov 30.0% 16.5% 5.2% 0.1% \nDenis Istomin 73.6% 27.5% 8.9% 0.2% \n(31)Juan Ignacio Chela 26.4% 4.7% 0.7% 0.0% \n(19)Fernando Verdasco 65.3% 24.1% 12.1% 0.5% \nRyan Sweeting 34.7% 8.6% 3.1% 0.0% \n(Q)Marinko Matosevic 14.3% 4.6% 1.3% 0.0% \n(9)Juan Martin Del Potro 85.7% 62.8% 43.2% 6.4% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(14)Gael Monfils 69.1% 48.2% 23.2% 2.7% \nNikolay Davydenko 30.9% 15.8% 4.8% 0.1% \nThomaz Bellucci 39.1% 11.8% 3.0% 0.0% \n(20)Jurgen Melzer 60.9% 24.2% 8.2% 0.3% \n(27)Milos Raonic 86.8% 32.7% 16.9% 1.1% \nCarlos Berlocq 13.2% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% \n(WC)Denis Kudla 16.6% 6.0% 1.9% 0.0% \n(3)Roger Federer 83.4% 60.1% 41.8% 8.5% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(6)Jo-Wilfried Tsonga 72.4% 56.4% 36.9% 4.8% \nMichael Llodra 27.6% 15.9% 6.7% 0.2% \nXavier Malisse 47.2% 12.7% 4.3% 0.0% \n(28)Radek Stepanek 52.8% 15.0% 5.4% 0.1% \n(24)Marin Cilic 54.8% 30.7% 15.1% 0.8% \nDavid Nalbandian 45.2% 23.2% 10.3% 0.4% \nGilles Muller 26.5% 7.6% 2.2% 0.0% \n(10)Janko Tipsarevic 73.5% 38.4% 19.2% 1.1% \n \nPlayer R32 R16 QF W \n(15)Feliciano Lopez 42.6% 21.8% 6.6% 0.3% \nMarcos Baghdatis 57.4% 33.5% 12.0% 0.9% \nSteve Darcis 35.9% 12.8% 2.9% 0.1% \n(21)Alexandr Dolgopolov 64.1% 31.9% 10.6% 0.6% \n(26)Marcel Granollers 91.1% 25.9% 13.0% 0.7% \nTommy Haas 8.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% \nLeonardo Mayer 7.4% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% \n(2)Rafael Nadal 92.7% 71.9% 54.5% 14.3%<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"When I initially posted odds for Indian Wells, the qualifiers weren’t placed. \u00a0In the space of a couple days, the draw was filled out, and then most of the qualifiers were gone. \u00a0Frederico Gil, Marinko Matosevic, and Andrey Golubev got from qualifying to the second round, but they faced other qualifiers in the first round. … Continue reading 2012 Indian Wells Projections: Field of 64<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,56],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-671","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forecasting","category-indian-wells"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=671"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/671\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=671"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=671"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=671"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}