{"id":728,"date":"2012-03-30T10:54:34","date_gmt":"2012-03-30T14:54:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/heavytopspin.com\/?p=728"},"modified":"2012-03-30T10:54:34","modified_gmt":"2012-03-30T14:54:34","slug":"2012-miami-projections-semifinals","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2012\/03\/30\/2012-miami-projections-semifinals\/","title":{"rendered":"2012 Miami Projections: Semifinals"},"content":{"rendered":"

It’s three of the big four … and Juan Monaco. \u00a0Pico has always been better on hard courts than he gets credit for, but after knocking out the former and current American #1s in successive rounds, he finds himself a little out of his depth.<\/p>\n

Here are the odds for today’s semifinal matches:<\/p>\n

Player                 F      W  \n(1)Novak Djokovic  84.9%  50.5%  \n(21)Juan Monaco    15.1%   3.2%  \n(4)Andy Murray     49.3%  22.7%  \n(2)Rafael Nadal    50.7%  23.6%<\/pre>\n
Also, here are my probabilities for every possible final matchup. \u00a0The number in each row is the percentage chance that the player on the left beats the player on the right. \u00a0In other words, the top row says: “If Djokovic faces Murray, he has a 59.9% chance of winning.”<\/p>\n
Player             Opponent            P(W)  \n(1)Novak Djokovic  (4)Andy Murray     59.9%  \n(1)Novak Djokovic  (2)Rafael Nadal    59.3%  \n                                             \n(21)Juan Monaco    (4)Andy Murray     21.2%  \n(21)Juan Monaco    (2)Rafael Nadal    20.8%  \n                                             \n(4)Andy Murray     (1)Novak Djokovic  40.1%  \n(4)Andy Murray     (21)Juan Monaco    78.8%  \n                                             \n(2)Rafael Nadal    (1)Novak Djokovic  40.7%  \n(2)Rafael Nadal    (21)Juan Monaco    79.2%<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
It’s three of the big four … and Juan Monaco. \u00a0Pico has always been better on hard courts than he gets credit for, but after knocking out the former and current American #1s in successive rounds, he finds himself a little out of his depth. Here are the odds for today’s semifinal matches: Player F … Continue reading 2012 Miami Projections: Semifinals<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,71],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-728","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forecasting","category-miami"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/728","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=728"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/728\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=728"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=728"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=728"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}