{"id":761,"date":"2012-06-23T08:49:08","date_gmt":"2012-06-23T12:49:08","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/heavytopspin.com\/?p=761"},"modified":"2012-06-23T08:49:08","modified_gmt":"2012-06-23T12:49:08","slug":"2012-wimbledon-womens-projections","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2012\/06\/23\/2012-wimbledon-womens-projections\/","title":{"rendered":"2012 Wimbledon Women&#8217;s Projections"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Here are my forecasts for the Wimbledon women&#8217;s draw. \u00a0Despite Maria Sharapova&#8217;s performance at the French, my ranking system still has her third, behind both Serena and Azarenka. \u00a0Also, you might also be surprised by the significant chance I give Kim Clijsters. \u00a0While she hasn&#8217;t played much, she&#8217;s played well, and my system operates on the assumption that if someone takes the court, she is doing so fully healthy. \u00a0(Or, at least, as healthy as she&#8217;s been other times she took the court.)<\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re interested in the rankings behind these forecasts, <a href=\"http:\/\/tennisabstract.com\/jrank\/wta-hard.html\">click here<\/a>; for more background on the system, <a title=\"The Official JRank\u00a0Reference\" href=\"http:\/\/tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2012\/05\/28\/the-official-jrank-reference\/\">here<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>I&#8217;ll post men&#8217;s odds later today, and the forecast will be updated throughout the tournament&#8211;I&#8217;ll post those links when I have them, probably mid-day Tuesday.<\/p>\n<pre>    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n1   Maria Sharapova        89.1%  68.7%  56.4%     8.7%  \n    Anastasia Rodionova    10.9%   3.4%   1.2%     0.0%  \n    Vesna Dolonc           21.8%   2.8%   0.9%     0.0%  \n    Tsvetana Pironkova     78.2%  25.1%  15.9%     0.4%  \n    Su-Wei Hsieh           51.5%  29.5%   8.0%     0.1%  \n    Virginie Razzano       48.5%  27.0%   7.1%     0.1%  \n    S Foretz Gacon         28.2%   7.8%   1.0%     0.0%  \n29  Monica Niculescu       71.8%  35.6%   9.5%     0.1%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n23  Petra Cetkovska        55.0%  38.3%  19.9%     0.3%  \n    Vania King             45.0%  29.3%  13.8%     0.1%  \n    Sloane Stephens        63.2%  23.1%   8.6%     0.0%  \n    Karolina Pliskova      36.8%   9.2%   2.4%     0.0%  \n    Bojana Jovanovski      58.0%  17.0%   6.8%     0.0%  \n    Eleni Daniilidou       42.0%   9.9%   3.2%     0.0%  \n    Petra Martic           32.6%  20.5%  10.2%     0.1%  \n15  Sabine Lisicki         67.4%  52.6%  35.2%     1.2%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n12  Vera Zvonareva         75.3%  64.2%  33.5%     2.3%  \n    Mona Barthel           24.8%  16.3%   4.7%     0.0%  \n    Edina Gallovits-Hall   37.5%   5.6%   0.8%     0.0%  \n    Silvia Soler-Espinosa  62.5%  13.8%   3.0%     0.0%  \n    Kai-Chen Chang         52.0%   7.6%   2.0%     0.0%  \n    Andrea Hlavackova      48.0%   6.5%   1.5%     0.0%  \n    Kim Clijsters          70.6%  63.1%  43.1%     5.4%  \n18  Jelena Jankovic        29.4%  22.9%  11.4%     0.3%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n28  Christina McHale       79.2%  64.0%  30.0%     0.7%  \n    Johanna Konta          20.8%  11.0%   2.1%     0.0%  \n    Lesia Tsurenko         59.4%  16.4%   3.4%     0.0%  \n    Mathilde Johansson     40.6%   8.7%   1.3%     0.0%  \n    Ekaterina Makarova     80.8%  38.2%  23.5%     0.6%  \n    Alberta Brianti        19.2%   3.7%   1.1%     0.0%  \n    Lucie Hradecka         19.1%   6.1%   2.3%     0.0%  \n8   Angelique Kerber       80.9%  52.1%  36.1%     2.1%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n3   Agnieszka Radwanska    88.4%  70.6%  50.7%     7.3%  \n    Magdalena Rybarikova   11.6%   4.0%   1.1%     0.0%  \n    Venus Williams         51.5%  13.3%   5.4%     0.1%  \n    Elena Vesnina          48.5%  12.1%   4.8%     0.0%  \n    Iveta Benesova         72.8%  35.1%  13.0%     0.3%  \n    Heather Watson         27.2%   7.5%   1.4%     0.0%  \n    Jamie Lee Hampton      20.8%   6.9%   1.3%     0.0%  \n27  Daniela Hantuchova     79.2%  50.6%  22.3%     1.0%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n20  Nadia Petrova          83.0%  56.0%  28.4%     0.4%  \n    Maria Elena Camerin    17.0%   5.1%   1.0%     0.0%  \n    Timea Babos            40.1%  13.3%   4.1%     0.0%  \n    Melanie Oudin          59.9%  25.6%   9.9%     0.0%  \n    Tamarine Tanasugarn    52.2%  11.9%   3.8%     0.0%  \n    Anna Tatishvili        47.8%  10.1%   3.0%     0.0%  \n    Camila Giorgi          18.9%  10.2%   3.6%     0.0%  \n16  Flavia Pennetta        81.1%  67.9%  46.1%     1.7%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n11  Na Li                  77.1%  60.0%  44.4%     3.8%  \n    Ksenia Pervak          22.9%  11.8%   5.7%     0.0%  \n    Sorana Cirstea         69.4%  22.5%  11.9%     0.1%  \n    Pauline Parmentier     30.6%   5.6%   2.0%     0.0%  \n    Naomi Broady           43.8%  10.4%   1.7%     0.0%  \n    L Dominguez Lino       56.2%  16.1%   3.4%     0.0%  \n    Alexandra Cadantu      15.1%   6.1%   0.9%     0.0%  \n17  Maria Kirilenko        84.9%  67.4%  29.9%     0.6%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n30  Shuai Peng             80.2%  54.1%  23.5%     0.4%  \n    Sandra Zaniewska       19.8%   6.8%   1.3%     0.0%  \n    Jarmila Gajdosova      59.4%  25.3%   7.9%     0.0%  \n    Ayumi Morita           40.6%  13.9%   3.4%     0.0%  \n    Arantxa Rus            52.1%  10.3%   3.7%     0.0%  \n    Misaki Doi             47.9%   9.1%   3.1%     0.0%  \n    Carla Suarez Navarro   17.6%   9.9%   4.0%     0.0%  \n5   Samantha Stosur        82.4%  70.7%  53.1%     4.2%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n6   Serena Williams        90.4%  80.9%  67.2%    16.1%  \n    B Zahlavova Strycova    9.6%   4.6%   1.7%     0.0%  \n    Johanna Larsson        43.5%   5.7%   2.0%     0.0%  \n    Melinda Czink          56.5%   8.8%   3.6%     0.0%  \n    Vera Dushevina         47.7%  19.1%   3.9%     0.0%  \n    Aleksandra Wozniak     52.3%  22.2%   4.7%     0.0%  \n    Stephanie Dubois       18.9%   5.7%   0.7%     0.0%  \n25  Jie Zheng              81.1%  53.0%  16.2%     0.4%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n19  Lucie Safarova         80.1%  57.6%  39.9%     0.8%  \n    Kiki Bertens           19.9%   7.7%   2.7%     0.0%  \n    Chanelle Scheepers     49.7%  17.2%   7.9%     0.0%  \n    Yaroslava Shvedova     50.3%  17.6%   8.3%     0.0%  \n    Laura Pous-Tio         35.9%   9.4%   2.2%     0.0%  \n    Anne Keothavong        64.1%  24.9%   8.7%     0.0%  \n    Coco Vandeweghe        33.8%  18.7%   6.6%     0.0%  \n10  Sara Errani            66.2%  47.0%  23.7%     0.2%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n13  Dominika Cibulkova     64.4%  53.7%  38.7%     1.5%  \n    Klara Zakopalova       35.6%  26.2%  15.6%     0.1%  \n    Olga Govortsova        50.6%  10.2%   3.6%     0.0%  \n    Annika Beck            49.4%   9.9%   3.5%     0.0%  \n    Polona Hercog          64.5%  28.1%  10.0%     0.0%  \n    Kristyna Pliskova      35.5%  10.8%   2.7%     0.0%  \n    Laura Robson           31.3%  15.2%   4.6%     0.0%  \n24  Francesca Schiavone    68.7%  45.9%  21.3%     0.2%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n31  A Pavlyuchenkova       64.0%  50.0%  18.4%     0.5%  \n    Sofia Arvidsson        36.0%  24.0%   6.4%     0.0%  \n    P Mayr-Achleitner      34.2%   6.2%   0.8%     0.0%  \n    Varvara Lepchenko      65.8%  19.8%   3.9%     0.0%  \n    Elena Baltacha         64.5%  10.0%   3.5%     0.0%  \n    Karin Knapp            35.5%   3.5%   0.8%     0.0%  \n    A Amanmuradova          9.4%   4.7%   1.4%     0.0%  \n4   Petra Kvitova          90.6%  81.7%  64.8%     9.0%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n7   Caroline Wozniacki     82.7%  71.2%  50.1%     5.0%  \n    Tamira Paszek          17.3%   9.7%   3.3%     0.0%  \n    Alize Cornet           55.1%  11.2%   3.3%     0.0%  \n    Nina Bratchikova       44.9%   7.9%   2.0%     0.0%  \n    Greta Arn              34.0%   9.8%   2.6%     0.0%  \n    Galina Voskoboeva      66.0%  29.3%  11.6%     0.2%  \n    Yanina Wickmayer       50.0%  30.4%  13.5%     0.3%  \n32  Svetlana Kuznetsova    50.0%  30.5%  13.6%     0.3%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n21  Roberta Vinci          81.4%  50.9%  22.1%     0.2%  \n    Ashleigh Barty         18.6%   5.2%   0.9%     0.0%  \n    Urszula Radwanska      48.3%  21.1%   7.0%     0.0%  \n    Marina Erakovic        51.7%  22.9%   7.7%     0.0%  \n    Mirjana Lucic          49.0%   8.2%   2.4%     0.0%  \n    Alexandra Panova       51.0%   8.8%   2.6%     0.0%  \n    Casey Dellacqua        18.1%  11.1%   4.4%     0.0%  \n9   Marion Bartoli         81.9%  71.9%  53.0%     2.9%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n14  Ana Ivanovic           67.6%  51.4%  34.2%     1.3%  \n    M Martinez Sanchez     32.4%  19.7%   9.8%     0.1%  \n    Kimiko Date-Krumm      31.7%   6.1%   1.8%     0.0%  \n    Kateryna Bondarenko    68.3%  22.9%  10.5%     0.0%  \n    Anastasiya Yakimova    49.0%  10.2%   2.2%     0.0%  \n    Mandy Minella          51.0%  11.2%   2.5%     0.0%  \n    Shahar Peer            37.1%  26.9%  11.1%     0.1%  \n22  Julia Goerges          62.9%  51.7%  27.8%     0.6%  \n\n    Player                   R64    R32    R16        W  \n26  A Medina Garrigues     40.2%  27.6%   5.7%     0.0%  \n    Simona Halep           59.8%  46.3%  12.4%     0.2%  \n    Jana Cepelova          45.5%  11.2%   1.2%     0.0%  \n    Kristina Mladenovic    54.5%  15.0%   1.8%     0.0%  \n    Irina-Camelia Begu     34.9%   3.2%   1.0%     0.0%  \n    Romina Oprandi         65.1%   9.6%   4.4%     0.0%  \n    Irina Falconi           7.6%   3.4%   1.3%     0.0%  \n2   Victoria Azarenka      92.4%  83.8%  72.1%    17.0%<\/pre>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here are my forecasts for the Wimbledon women&#8217;s draw. \u00a0Despite Maria Sharapova&#8217;s performance at the French, my ranking system still has her third, behind both Serena and Azarenka. \u00a0Also, you might also be surprised by the significant chance I give Kim Clijsters. \u00a0While she hasn&#8217;t played much, she&#8217;s played well, and my system operates on &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/2012\/06\/23\/2012-wimbledon-womens-projections\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading <span class=\"screen-reader-text\">2012 Wimbledon Women&#8217;s Projections<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[40,122,127],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-761","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-forecasting","category-wimbledon","category-wta"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/761","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=761"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/761\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=761"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=761"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.tennisabstract.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=761"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}