2026 US Open Men's Draw Forecast

Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(1)Alexander Zverev (GER)     91.8%  84.0%  75.2%  66.4%  48.3%  35.9%  22.7%
Lorenzo Sonego (ITA)     8.2%  4.2%  1.9%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Quentin Halys (FRA)     78.9%  11.0%  5.4%  2.6%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%
Facundo Diaz Acosta (ARG)     21.1%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Grigor Dimitrov (BUL)     61.4%  28.7%  4.9%  2.4%  0.6%  0.2%  0.0%
Alexei Popyrin (AUS)     38.6%  13.7%  1.6%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Yannick Hanfmann (GER)     47.2%  26.6%  4.8%  2.4%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%
(25)Alejandro Tabilo (CHI)     52.8%  31.1%  6.0%  3.2%  1.0%  0.3%  0.1%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(21)Luciano Darderi (ITA)     76.4%  48.0%  18.4%  3.1%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%
(Q)Harry Wendelken (GBR)     23.6%  8.1%  1.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Dalibor Svrcina (CZE)     41.0%  16.0%  3.7%  0.4%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Valentin Royer (FRA)     59.0%  27.8%  8.3%  1.1%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Dane Sweeny (AUS)     9.5%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Corentin Moutet (FRA)     90.5%  33.2%  20.1%  3.7%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%
Arthur Fery (GBR)     34.5%  19.7%  12.6%  2.5%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%
(13)Lorenzo Musetti (ITA)     65.5%  46.5%  35.6%  10.7%  4.2%  1.7%  0.5%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(12)Rafael Jodar (ESP)     77.4%  62.4%  45.5%  28.6%  14.0%  8.4%  4.0%
Thanasi Kokkinakis (AUS)     22.6%  12.3%  5.7%  2.1%  0.5%  0.2%  0.0%
Fabian Marozsan (HUN)     43.9%  10.0%  3.9%  1.2%  0.2%  0.1%  0.0%
(WC)Michael Zheng (USA)     56.1%  15.3%  6.8%  2.3%  0.6%  0.2%  0.0%
Zachary Svajda (USA)     50.6%  12.8%  2.7%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Daniel Altmaier (GER)     49.4%  12.3%  2.5%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Juan Manuel Cerundolo (ARG)     25.3%  14.7%  3.8%  1.1%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(19)Casper Ruud (NOR)     74.7%  60.2%  29.2%  14.7%  5.5%  2.6%  0.9%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(31)Zizou Bergs (BEL)     89.6%  67.0%  18.1%  5.4%  1.2%  0.3%  0.1%
Carlos Taberner (ESP)     10.4%  2.8%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Jesper De Jong (NED)     62.5%  21.1%  2.9%  0.4%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Francesco Passaro (ITA)     37.5%  9.1%  0.8%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Jan Choinski (GBR)     22.5%  2.0%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Botic Van De Zandschulp (NED)     77.5%  18.4%  11.1%  3.4%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%
(Q)Andrea Guerrieri (ITA)     4.0%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(6)Alex De Minaur (AUS)     96.0%  78.7%  66.2%  39.5%  18.4%  10.6%  4.8%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(3)Felix Auger Aliassime (CAN)     85.9%  71.4%  62.9%  40.3%  26.9%  12.9%  6.2%
Rinky Hijikata (AUS)     14.1%  6.6%  3.6%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Roman Andres Burruchaga (ARG)     15.9%  1.0%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Karen Khachanov (RUS)     84.1%  21.0%  13.3%  4.2%  1.4%  0.3%  0.1%
Alex Molcan (SVK)     48.4%  24.7%  4.8%  1.0%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Benjamin Bonzi (FRA)     51.6%  27.0%  5.5%  1.2%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%
Marcos Giron (USA)     61.3%  32.4%  7.1%  1.6%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
Ignacio Buse (PER)     38.7%  15.9%  2.5%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(17)Jakub Mensik (CZE)     95.1%  83.6%  47.8%  25.7%  14.5%  5.5%  2.1%
(LL)Shintaro Mochizuki (JPN)     4.9%  1.5%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Jurij Rodionov (AUT)     37.8%  4.3%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (FRA)     62.2%  10.7%  2.1%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (PAR)     17.4%  1.9%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Gael Monfils (FRA)     82.6%  29.4%  11.7%  4.5%  1.7%  0.4%  0.1%
Nuno Borges (POR)     29.9%  16.8%  6.8%  2.6%  1.0%  0.2%  0.1%
(14)Learner Tien (USA)     70.1%  51.9%  30.6%  17.1%  10.1%  4.1%  1.6%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(9)Taylor Fritz (USA)     97.6%  82.1%  55.8%  37.2%  19.1%  7.6%  3.0%
(WC)Darwin Blanch (USA)     2.4%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Mattia Bellucci (ITA)     55.1%  10.4%  3.5%  1.1%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Zsombor Piros (HUN)     44.9%  7.2%  2.1%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (ARG)     40.2%  7.9%  1.2%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Jan Lennard Struff (GER)     59.8%  15.5%  3.3%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Filip Misolic (AUT)     6.6%  1.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(24)Francisco Cerundolo (ARG)     93.4%  75.0%  34.0%  19.1%  7.7%  2.3%  0.7%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(28)Alexander Blockx (BEL)     87.8%  71.2%  33.5%  12.6%  4.1%  0.9%  0.2%
(Q)Tomas Barrios Vera (CHI)     12.2%  4.6%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Juncheng Shang (CHN)     59.4%  15.8%  3.4%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Marco Trungelliti (ARG)     40.6%  8.3%  1.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Nishesh Basavareddy (USA)     74.1%  18.9%  7.7%  1.6%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Tristan Schoolkate (AUS)     25.9%  2.9%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Francisco Comesana (ARG)     13.1%  5.9%  1.8%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(5)Flavio Cobolli (ITA)     86.9%  72.3%  51.0%  25.4%  11.1%  3.7%  1.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(7)Daniil Medvedev (RUS)     90.3%  68.1%  54.8%  37.8%  19.1%  9.8%  4.8%
(Q)Hugo Gaston (FRA)     9.7%  2.6%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Sebastian Gorzny (USA)     3.5%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Raphael Collignon (BEL)     96.5%  29.2%  17.1%  7.7%  2.2%  0.6%  0.2%
Jaume Munar (ESP)     53.1%  30.3%  8.8%  3.5%  0.8%  0.2%  0.0%
Terence Atmane (FRA)     46.9%  25.3%  6.7%  2.5%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%
Sho Shimabukuro (JPN)     22.4%  5.1%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(26)Arthur Rinderknech (FRA)     77.6%  39.3%  11.1%  4.3%  1.0%  0.2%  0.0%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(22)Valentin Vacherot (MON)     79.0%  50.4%  22.1%  8.6%  2.5%  0.7%  0.2%
Aleksandar Kovacevic (USA)     21.0%  6.7%  1.3%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Kamil Majchrzak (POL)     55.4%  25.0%  8.6%  2.5%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%
Hamad Medjedovic (SRB)     44.6%  17.9%  5.3%  1.3%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Aleksandar Vukic (AUS)     59.3%  11.4%  3.8%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Rei Sakamoto (JPN)     40.7%  5.9%  1.5%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Martin Damm (USA)     14.8%  8.1%  2.8%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(11)Frances Tiafoe (USA)     85.2%  74.6%  54.6%  29.8%  12.7%  5.5%  2.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(16)Brandon Nakashima (USA)     73.9%  46.6%  30.2%  12.5%  6.6%  2.8%  1.1%
Sebastian Baez (ARG)     26.1%  10.1%  4.0%  0.9%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%
Alex Michelsen (USA)     90.3%  42.3%  23.5%  8.0%  3.5%  1.2%  0.4%
(Q)Federico Cina (ITA)     9.7%  0.9%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Daniel Merida Aguilar (ESP)     67.0%  33.9%  14.8%  4.6%  1.9%  0.6%  0.2%
Marton Fucsovics (HUN)     33.0%  11.0%  3.1%  0.6%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Marin Cilic (CRO)     35.7%  16.4%  5.7%  1.4%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
(23)Andrey Rublev (RUS)     64.3%  38.6%  18.5%  6.3%  2.8%  1.0%  0.3%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(27)Tomas Martin Etcheverry (ARG)     62.1%  36.6%  6.3%  1.9%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%
Vit Kopriva (CZE)     37.9%  17.6%  2.0%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Martin Landaluce (ESP)     49.6%  22.6%  2.9%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Jacob Fearnley (GBR)     50.4%  23.1%  3.0%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Matteo Berrettini (ITA)     71.8%  14.9%  10.2%  4.3%  1.6%  0.5%  0.1%
(WC)Stan Wawrinka (SUI)     28.2%  2.8%  1.3%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Mariano Navone (ARG)     11.0%  5.1%  3.0%  1.0%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%
(4)Novak Djokovic (SRB)     89.0%  77.2%  71.3%  56.2%  41.5%  26.8%  16.6%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(8)Ben Shelton (USA)     76.9%  62.2%  48.5%  26.3%  16.3%  8.7%  4.5%
Tallon Griekspoor (NED)     23.1%  13.1%  6.8%  1.9%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%
Damir Dzumhur (BIH)     20.4%  1.9%  0.4%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Hubert Hurkacz (POL)     79.6%  22.7%  11.5%  3.2%  1.1%  0.3%  0.1%
Miomir Kecmanovic (SRB)     37.6%  13.5%  3.2%  0.6%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Denis Shapovalov (CAN)     62.4%  29.8%  9.8%  2.7%  0.9%  0.2%  0.1%
Luca Van Assche (FRA)     38.2%  18.9%  5.4%  1.3%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
(29)Cameron Norrie (GBR)     61.8%  37.8%  14.5%  4.7%  1.8%  0.6%  0.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(18)Jiri Lehecka (CZE)     73.3%  47.3%  18.5%  9.6%  4.7%  1.9%  0.7%
Pablo Carreno Busta (ESP)     26.7%  10.7%  2.3%  0.7%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Toby Samuel (GBR)     36.8%  12.7%  2.8%  0.9%  0.3%  0.1%  0.0%
Tomas Machac (CZE)     63.2%  29.3%  9.1%  3.8%  1.5%  0.5%  0.1%
(Q)Lloyd Harris (RSA)     87.7%  10.8%  2.9%  0.7%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
(WC)Jack Kennedy (USA)     12.3%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)     20.6%  15.6%  7.6%  3.2%  1.3%  0.4%  0.1%
(10)Arthur Fils (FRA)     79.4%  73.4%  56.9%  40.5%  28.2%  17.2%  10.2%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(15)Alexander Bublik (KAZ)     85.6%  59.8%  32.5%  15.3%  5.6%  2.0%  0.7%
(WC)J J Wolf (USA)     14.4%  4.3%  0.8%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Thiago Agustin Tirante (ARG)     68.5%  27.9%  11.3%  3.9%  0.9%  0.2%  0.0%
Adrian Mannarino (FRA)     31.5%  7.9%  2.0%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%  0.0%
Dino Prizmic (CRO)     61.8%  16.3%  5.5%  1.4%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Alexander Shevchenko (KAZ)     38.2%  7.2%  1.7%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(Q)Coleman Wong (HKG)     14.9%  6.7%  1.7%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
(20)Tommy Paul (USA)     85.1%  69.8%  44.5%  23.2%  9.6%  3.9%  1.5%
                    
Player     R64  R32  R16  QF  SF  F  W
(30)Matteo Arnaldi (ITA)     65.0%  33.3%  7.6%  2.2%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
James Duckworth (AUS)     35.0%  12.7%  1.8%  0.3%  0.0%  0.0%  0.0%
Yibing Wu (CHN)     55.2%  31.1%  7.3%  2.2%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
Adam Walton (AUS)     44.8%  22.9%  4.6%  1.2%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Jaime Faria (POR)     54.0%  10.9%  6.0%  1.9%  0.4%  0.1%  0.0%
Jenson Brooksby (USA)     46.0%  8.2%  4.2%  1.2%  0.2%  0.0%  0.0%
Roman Safiullin (RUS)     17.4%  9.8%  5.9%  2.1%  0.5%  0.1%  0.0%
(2)Carlos Alcaraz (ESP)     82.6%  71.1%  62.5%  43.9%  23.8%  12.7%  6.5%