ATP Montreal Predictions

The big boys are back in action with this week’s Masters 1000 tournament in Montreal.  I’ve updated my rankings and generated some predictions for this week’s matches.  My system doesn’t give any credit to defending champions, so Andy Murray is in a distant third, while Djokovic’s chances of winning the tournament are lessened a bit by finding himself in the same half of the bracket as Federer.

If you’re visiting for the first time, or the first time since last week, you may be interested in the variety of content I posted over the weekend:

Once you’ve caught up, enjoy my forecast for this week’s Rogers Cup, below.

Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(1)Novak Djokovic          100.0%  81.1%  59.3%    23.27%  
Nikolay Davydenko           78.8%  17.5%   7.9%     0.70%  
(q)Flavio Cipolla           21.2%   1.4%   0.2%     0.00%  
Andreas Seppi               30.4%   6.9%   1.0%     0.02%  
Marin Cilic                 69.6%  27.5%   7.2%     0.61%  
Jarkko Nieminen             14.9%   4.9%   0.7%     0.01%  
(16)Juan Martin Del Potro   85.1%  60.6%  23.8%     5.21%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(12)Viktor Troicki          81.3%  40.4%  19.1%     0.49%  
(q)Michael Yani             18.7%   3.3%   0.6%     0.00%  
Marcos Baghdatis            57.5%  34.7%  17.9%     0.78%  
John Isner                  42.5%  21.7%   9.7%     0.19%  
(q)Alex Bogomolov Jr        41.7%  10.7%   3.4%     0.02%  
Adrian Mannarino            58.3%  19.1%   7.8%     0.10%  
(5)Gael Monfils            100.0%  70.3%  41.5%     2.19%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(3)Roger Federer           100.0%  91.7%  63.9%    15.48%  
Juan Ignacio Chela          52.4%   4.4%   0.9%     0.00%  
(WC)Vasek Pospisil          47.6%   3.9%   0.7%     0.00%  
(WC)Bernard Tomic           67.8%  29.9%   9.1%     0.51%  
(LL)Yen Hsun Lu             32.2%   9.3%   1.6%     0.02%  
Fabio Fognini               17.3%   5.3%   0.8%     0.01%  
(13)Jo Wilfried Tsonga      82.7%  55.4%  22.9%     2.84%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(10)Richard Gasquet         52.9%  34.9%  19.5%     0.60%  
Florian Mayer               47.1%  30.1%  16.9%     0.51%  
Andrey Golubev              42.9%  13.9%   5.3%     0.04%  
Thomaz Bellucci             57.1%  21.1%   9.1%     0.10%  
Sergiy Stakhovsky           38.9%  16.3%   6.6%     0.06%  
Philipp Kohlschreiber       61.1%  31.5%  16.4%     0.37%  
(8)Nicolas Almagro         100.0%  52.1%  26.1%     0.46%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(6)Mardy Fish              100.0%  67.4%  43.5%     3.65%  
Feliciano Lopez             53.7%  16.4%   8.0%     0.16%  
(SE)Radek Stepanek          46.3%  16.1%   7.0%     0.11%  
(WC)Ernests Gulbis          78.1%  41.7%  18.7%     0.56%  
Juan Carlos Ferrero         21.9%   5.3%   0.9%     0.00%  
Michael Llodra              46.3%  23.9%   8.8%     0.20%  
(11)Mikhail Youzhny         53.7%  29.1%  13.1%     0.44%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(14)Stanislas Wawrinka      59.5%  48.6%  20.7%     1.84%  
David Nalbandian            40.5%  30.2%   9.1%     0.39%  
(q)Michael Russell          37.4%   6.0%   0.7%     0.00%  
Albert Montanes             62.6%  15.2%   2.5%     0.02%  
Pablo Andujar               23.1%   1.4%   0.2%     0.00%  
Kevin Anderson              76.9%  12.7%   4.6%     0.08%  
(4)Andy Murray             100.0%  86.0%  62.1%    12.44%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(7)Tomas Berdych           100.0%  60.8%  37.2%     2.20%  
Alexandr Dolgopolov         93.0%  38.8%  21.6%     0.78%  
(WC)Erik Chvojka             7.0%   0.4%   0.0%     0.00%  
Ivo Karlovic                38.8%  15.2%   4.7%     0.04%  
Juan Monaco                 61.2%  27.4%  10.4%     0.21%  
(q)Philipp Petzschner       34.4%  16.3%   5.5%     0.07%  
(9)Gilles Simon             65.6%  41.1%  20.7%     0.88%  
                                                           
Player                        R32    R16     QF         W  
(15)Fernando Verdasco       72.5%  44.2%  12.1%     0.65%  
(q)Tobias Kamke             27.5%   9.8%   1.4%     0.01%  
Janko Tipsarevic            70.6%  36.4%   9.8%     0.39%  
(q)Alejandro Falla          29.4%   9.7%   1.4%     0.01%  
Ivan Dodig                  44.4%   6.5%   2.7%     0.04%  
Jeremy Chardy               55.6%   9.7%   4.6%     0.13%  
(2)Rafael Nadal            100.0%  83.8%  68.0%    20.10%