Podcast Episode 50: Easy Draws, Tough Draws, and the Difficulty of Forecasting

Episode 50 of the Tennis Abstract Podcast, with Carl Bialik of the Thirty Love podcast, grapples with familiar questions of forecasting, and the difficulty of incorporating various level of achievements into our predictions. Belinda Bencic won a major title after plowing through some of the WTA’s strongest competition, while four ATP finalists–Laslo Djere, Felix Auger-Aliassime, Radu Albot, and Daniel Evans–enjoyed breezier paths to trophy ceremonies and sharp rises on the ranking table.

We also talk a bit about the return of Federer and Nadal in Dubai and Acapulco, respectively, possible explanations for the (apparent) weakness in clay-court ATP 500s, our latest evaluation of Casper Ruud, and the lack of tennis analytics at this week’s Sloan conference.

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(Note: this week’s episode is about 64 minutes long; in some browsers the audio player may display a different length. Sorry about that!)

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