Watch out, ladies, this site isn’t just for the ATP anymore.
It was a bit of a struggle, but I was able to assemble a ranking and results database for women’s tennis (both WTA and ITF) going back several years. That allowed me to apply my ranking algorithm to WTA players. This is still a work in progress–I’ve had to borrow a few assumptions from my ATP research–but I think the results generally make a lot of sense.
For newcomers, here are a few of the key differences between my rankings and the official WTA rankings:
- My system considers matches going back two years–not just one. Incidentally, this helps us better evaluate the Williams sisters, just as it helps us with Juan Martin del Potro in the ATP numbers.
- The more recent the tournament, the more it counts in the rankings.
- Points are based almost entirely on the quality of opponents, not on the level of the event. If you beat Vera Zvonereva, it’s worth the same number of points whether it’s at Indian Wells or in Brussels. (There is a slight boost for grand slams, on the assumption that players plan their seasons to peak at the slams.)
- Surface is considered. For these hard/grass-court rankings, hard-court results are weighted more heavily than clay-court results. For instance, Francesca Schiavone is #26 here, but #10 in the clay-court rankings.
Here is the HeavyTopspin.com WTA hard-court top 100:
RANK PLAYER POINTS
1 Kim Clijsters 9286
2 Caroline Wozniacki 7888
3 Victoria Azarenka 7040
4 Vera Zvonareva 6222
5 Na Li 5167
6 Serena Williams 5142
7 Petra Kvitova 4854
8 Maria Sharapova 4596
9 Svetlana Kuznetsova 3607
10 Venus Williams 3551
RANK PLAYER POINTS
11 Andrea Petkovic 3514
12 Shuai Peng 3498
13 Marion Bartoli 3332
14 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 3268
15 Agnieszka Radwanska 3207
16 Samantha Stosur 3137
17 Ana Ivanovic 3129
18 Flavia Pennetta 3074
19 Alisa Kleybanova 3005
20 Dominika Cibulkova 2931
RANK PLAYER POINTS
21 Jelena Jankovic 2693
22 Daniela Hantuchova 2505
23 Yanina Wickmayer 2452
24 Shahar Peer 2318
25 Kaia Kanepi 2252
26 Francesca Schiavone 2229
27 Ekaterina Makarova 2010
28 Sabine Lisicki 1997
29 Julia Goerges 1970
30 Maria Kirilenko 1961
RANK PLAYER POINTS
31 Lucie Safarova 1913
32 Elena Vesnina 1912
33 Gisela Dulko 1835
34 Maria Jose Martinez Sanchez 1764
35 Nadia Petrova 1717
36 Virginie Razzano 1673
37 Dinara Safina 1626
38 Jie Zheng 1619
39 Anastasija Sevastova 1484
40 Klara Zakopalova 1450
RANK PLAYER POINTS
41 Aravane Rezai 1420
42 Kateryna Bondarenko 1370
43 Bethanie Mattek-Sands 1345
44 Roberta Vinci 1320
45 Anna Chakvetadze 1294
46 Alona Bondarenko 1277
47 Jarmila Gajdosova 1263
48 Melanie Oudin 1247
49 Vera Dushevina 1168
50 Iveta Benesova 1166
RANK PLAYER POINTS
51 Alize Cornet 1157
52 Sara Errani 1102
53 Magdalena Rybarikova 1048
54 Timea Bacsinszky 1038
55 Agnes Szavay 991
56 Tsvetana Pironkova 986
57 Barbora Zahlavova Strycova 953
58 Bojana Jovanovski 952
59 Kimiko Date-Krumm 917
60 Alexandra Dulgheru 905
RANK PLAYER POINTS
61 Greta Arn 891
62 Simona Halep 889
63 Tamira Paszek 868
64 Vania King 856
65 Polona Hercog 848
66 Angelique Kerber 820
67 Jelena Dokic 818
68 Christina McHale 800
69 Elena Baltacha 784
70 Sorana Cirstea 771
RANK PLAYER POINTS
71 Carla Suarez Navarro 751
72 Yaroslava Shvedova 749
73 Kirsten Flipkens 741
74 Lucie Hradecka 738
75 Sybille Bammer 737
76 Aleksandra Wozniak 728
77 Johanna Larsson 722
78 Alla Kudryavtseva 716
79 Regina Kulikova 693
80 Monica Niculescu 677
RANK PLAYER POINTS
81 Petra Martic 671
82 Kristina Barrois 656
83 Ayumi Morita 654
84 Urszula Radwanska 638
85 Olga Govortsova 635
86 Sofia Arvidsson 630
87 Coco Vandeweghe 602
88 Anastasiya Yakimova 592
89 Anabel Medina Garrigues 590
90 Kai-Chen Chang 570
RANK PLAYER POINTS
91 Eleni Daniilidou 566
92 Rebecca Marino 564
93 Anastasia Rodionova 560
94 Melinda Czink 550
95 Arantxa Rus 535
96 Ksenia Pervak 527
97 Michaella Krajicek 522
98 Vesna Dolonts 512
99 Tamarine Tanasugarn 508
100 Alison Riske 501
Wow, that’s quite an achievement! My (infrequent and casual) observations suggest that, in a match between any two women, the result is a toss-up. Once the first set is over, you can assume that whoever lost it has a slight edge.
Thanks. Definitely seems like the women’s game is more unpredictable. Seems like so many examples where someone has a great run for a few months and then suddenly can’t beat anyone in the top 20.